Market position statement local context

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Older People

  • In 2020, the population of Barnet is estimated to be 402,700, the largest of all the London boroughs with population growth expected to be 5% (about 20,600) over the next 5 years to 2024
  • The number of older people in Barnet currently is estimated to be 58,400. This figure expected to rise by 10% to 64,500 over this period
  • There is a predicted 10% rise in the number of older unpaid carers (aged 65+) over the next 5 years
  • Life expectancy for men in Barnet  is 82.2 years - significantly higher than the London average of 80.5 years
  • For women life expectancy in the borough is 85.5 years -  also significantly higher than the London average  of 84.3 years
  • Despite longer life expectancy, on average, people in Barnet live 18 years in ill health
  • The number of people aged 65+ who are living alone is expected to increase by 11% (20,600 in 2024)

For more information on the current and future health and care needs of Barnet, please refer to the Joint Strategic Needs Assessment

Barnet Dementia Needs Assessment has more information.

People with Learning disabilities and  autism

  • There are 2,500 younger adults (aged 18-64) in Barnet with autistic spectrum conditions or disorders and this number is  projected to rise over the next 15 years to 2,800
  • Dementia is more prevalent among people with learning disabilities. One in ten people with a learning disability develop young onset Alzheimer’s disease between the age of 50 to 65

People with Mental Ill-Health

  • Between 2018 and 2035, common mental disorders will increase by 14% in Barnet adults (aged 18 – 64)
  • Over the same period, the number of people with two or more psychiatric disorders is predicted to increase by 15% and those with antisocial personality disorder by 18% from 874 to 1,035

People with Dementia

  • It is estimated that there are 4,266 people with dementia living in Barnet and by 2035 this figure is expected to increase to 7,407 - an increase of 74%
  • Older age groups are associated with higher dementia prevalence.  The number of older Barnet residents with dementia will increase by 47% between 2018 and 2030

People with Physical & Sensory Impairment

  • The number of people under 65 with severe hearing loss is expected to increase by 25%  by 2035
  • For younger people with serious sight loss a similar increase of 25% is expected by 2035